Tuesday, January 5, 2016
Written by Jay Hobgood, Ph.D.
Associate Professor, The Ohio State University
Department of Geography (Atmospheric Sciences)
2016 Outlook for Ohio
Seasonably cold with near normal temperatures and below
normal precipitation. Most precipitation
will likely be rain instead of snow.
After a December in which several locations in Ohio reported
their warmest Decembers on record the weather pattern has returned to a more
typical winter pattern. Large masses of
cooler, drier air will move out of
western Canada toward Ohio in January.
Those air masses will bring temperatures near normal for this time of
year. Some locations, especially in the
southern half of the state could experience brief warmer periods as southerly
winds bring milder air northward. The
drier air should keep precipitation below normal. Occasional storms will bring precipitation to
Ohio, but much of that will fall as rain instead of snow. With surface water temperatures in the lower
40s in Lake Erie and the upper 30s in southern Lake Michigan, the potential
will exist for lake effect snowfall events if persistent north or northwesterly
wind flow sets up during the month.
The above normal Sea Surface Temperatures in the equatorial
Pacific Ocean known as El Niño continue.
The El Niño pattern contributed to the unusually warm December. It is possible that the El Niño could cause
our weather pattern to shift back later this winter to warmer and wetter than